Don’t wish for it. Work for it.
              
 
DEC / 2018
       

Assumptions / Questions

Before designing, I addressed a group of assumptions and questions that enabled me to design within various constraints and technology that could exist by 2020.
1. Will transportation routes be planned automatically?
Not yet.

2. Can zero-capacity on-demand vehicles be re-routed? Yes, assuming nearly all transit riders for on-demand lines have smartphones.

3. Will ridesharing data be publicly available?
Yes.

4. Will on-demand routes use autonomous vehicles?
Yes.

5. Will on-demand routes have maximum waiting times for passengers? Yes. Certain request time durations and ride time durations will be used.
6. Will entire transit agencies switch to on-demand routes?
No.

7. Will special events have impact on on-demand service? Yes. But it might not be addressed in route planning for this case study.

8. Will different vehicle types be supported?
Not yet.

9. Will all vehicles be autonomous? Not yet, but assume on-demand routes will be.

10. Will machine learning be part of the planning workflow?
Yes.
11. Will users use mobile devices to request pickups? Yes.

12. Will on-demand routes support riders without smartphones? No, assume smartphone technology is a requirement to ride.

13. Will planners rely on machine learning to perform difficult tasks? Yes, very much. Assume AI is widespread by 2020.

14. Will street designs incorporate more bus-only lanes?
Yes.

15. Will autonomous cars have access to bus lanes?
No.
16. Will traffic prioritization expand to make bus travel faster?
Yes.

17. Can on-demand riders request specific pickup/drop-off stops? No. Assume they are already-existing bus stops.

18. Will private microtransit compete with public transit?
Yes.

19. Will new routes be implemented same-day with Title VI compliance?
Not yet.

20. Will riders get notifications about newly-created or faster routes?
Yes.